{
 "rows": [
  {
   "season": "2022-23",
   "games": 1310,
   "ll_model": 0.6543,
   "ll_market": 0.653,
   "bets_5_7": 203,
   "roi_5_7": 4.0,
   "bets_7": 264,
   "roi_7": 6.1,
   "staked": 731,
   "units": 40.1,
   "roi": 5.5
  },
  {
   "season": "2023-24",
   "games": 1309,
   "ll_model": 0.6589,
   "ll_market": 0.6558,
   "bets_5_7": 184,
   "roi_5_7": -1.2,
   "bets_7": 222,
   "roi_7": 2.8,
   "staked": 628,
   "units": 10.3,
   "roi": 1.6
  },
  {
   "season": "2024-25",
   "games": 1306,
   "ll_model": 0.6602,
   "ll_market": 0.6579,
   "bets_5_7": 187,
   "roi_5_7": 4.3,
   "bets_7": 228,
   "roi_7": 2.1,
   "staked": 643,
   "units": 17.6,
   "roi": 2.7
  },
  {
   "season": "2025-26",
   "games": 1308,
   "ll_model": 0.6798,
   "ll_market": 0.6821,
   "bets_5_7": 185,
   "roi_5_7": 0.9,
   "bets_7": 187,
   "roi_7": 15.7,
   "staked": 559,
   "units": 60.3,
   "roi": 10.8
  }
 ],
 "total": {
  "games": 5233,
  "bets": 1660,
  "staked": 2561,
  "units": 128.2,
  "roi": 5.0,
  "ci": [
   -0.6,
   10.6
  ],
  "max_drawdown": -40.1
 },
 "buckets": [
  [
   "3-4",
   670,
   -2.2
  ],
  [
   "4-5",
   544,
   -2.1
  ],
  [
   "5-6",
   425,
   8.2
  ],
  [
   "6-7",
   334,
   -5.7
  ],
  [
   "7-9",
   449,
   8.8
  ],
  [
   "9-12",
   310,
   0.1
  ],
  [
   "12+",
   142,
   11.4
  ]
 ],
 "notes": [
  "Walk-forward: every game predicted only from games before it; each season's settings fit only on earlier seasons.",
  "Bets graded at the real closing price (vig included); edge measured against the no-vig closing line.",
  "Backtests use the goalies who actually started, so live picks lock close to puck drop."
 ],
 "blind": {
  "seasons": "2023-24 to 2025-26",
  "picks": 1259,
  "units": 77.4,
  "staked": 1921,
  "roi": 4.0
 }
}